Indeed - Holmgren's figure encapsulates some of Holmgren's interpretations and motivations, which as I suggested, might be better left to later discussion.
If you assume that the Y-axis refers to Energy, and is intended to evoke best-estimate fossil fuel energy data such as global oil extraction (as now edited to the main posting) and that it's a non-linear sketch graph, I still think Holmgrens figure gives a somewhat useful visual guide ...
Also, these are clearly 'simple' scenarios. I'd envisage that it could be useful to study each of these four - and decide whether one or two more simple scenarios are needed. Only then would we start to look at the complexities of how these scenarios interact, if say Countries or Regions 1 - 4 are each different mixes of Scenarios 1 - 4?
no subject
If you assume that the Y-axis refers to Energy, and is intended to evoke best-estimate fossil fuel energy data such as global oil extraction (as now edited to the main posting) and that it's a non-linear sketch graph, I still think Holmgrens figure gives a somewhat useful visual guide ...
Also, these are clearly 'simple' scenarios. I'd envisage that it could be useful to study each of these four - and decide whether one or two more simple scenarios are needed. Only then would we start to look at the complexities of how these scenarios interact, if say Countries or Regions 1 - 4 are each different mixes of Scenarios 1 - 4?