I don't think they do summarise all options, as interaction of all or several of those outcomes across differing regional/social groups is also a likelihood. It seems unlikely there will be a unified global response to the upcoming issues. Different political groups will take different actions. A country that's policies take it into anything other than collapse would need to be concerned if the country next to it collapsed. A lot of these theories seem to presume people will behave rationally at all times, but I would suspect the authors of those theories have never gone three days without food. Additionally, top-down government serves well to allow us to scape-goat our own inaction or bad decisions. "It's governments fault". So if a government totally screws their country in these decisions, it's unlikely to bring any immediate change in public perception. Particularly if the ecology becomes so damaged that switching to subsistence farming or permaculture is not an option by necessity. This is a long-winded way of saying the extra prospect is more frequent ground-level resource wars/raids between those that made sustaining choices and those that didn't. The proactive approach would seem to be to take over control of surrounding countries that are likely to collapse to prevent them becoming aggressors in future.
Would a Cybernetic future be counted under "technolocial explosion"? By that I mean a future where we rely on sustainable resource levels, but use technology as a mediator to achieve the maximum efficiency in their production and use (presuming the development of technologies with no long-term detrimental interaction, unlike EG; pesticides). Perhaps consider it a mix between the tech-explosion and permaculture options.
...
A highly pedantic side note would be that I'd like to see a uniform time axis on that graph. The historical side would suggest a logarithmic scale. Continuing it to the future would surely mean we'll know which outcome it will be in the next few minutes. It also combines 3 or 4 independent data fields into the vertical axis. The vertical might as well be labelled "Terrible Things". Technically it's a terrible graph. Though probably good for putting the fear up people in huge conference rooms.
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momijizukamori
no subject
Date: 2010-08-21 12:09 pm (UTC)It seems unlikely there will be a unified global response to the upcoming issues. Different political groups will take different actions. A country that's policies take it into anything other than collapse would need to be concerned if the country next to it collapsed. A lot of these theories seem to presume people will behave rationally at all times, but I would suspect the authors of those theories have never gone three days without food.
Additionally, top-down government serves well to allow us to scape-goat our own inaction or bad decisions. "It's governments fault". So if a government totally screws their country in these decisions, it's unlikely to bring any immediate change in public perception. Particularly if the ecology becomes so damaged that switching to subsistence farming or permaculture is not an option by necessity.
This is a long-winded way of saying the extra prospect is more frequent ground-level resource wars/raids between those that made sustaining choices and those that didn't.
The proactive approach would seem to be to take over control of surrounding countries that are likely to collapse to prevent them becoming aggressors in future.
Would a Cybernetic future be counted under "technolocial explosion"? By that I mean a future where we rely on sustainable resource levels, but use technology as a mediator to achieve the maximum efficiency in their production and use (presuming the development of technologies with no long-term detrimental interaction, unlike EG; pesticides).
Perhaps consider it a mix between the tech-explosion and permaculture options.
...
A highly pedantic side note would be that I'd like to see a uniform time axis on that graph. The historical side would suggest a logarithmic scale. Continuing it to the future would surely mean we'll know which outcome it will be in the next few minutes.
It also combines 3 or 4 independent data fields into the vertical axis. The vertical might as well be labelled "Terrible Things". Technically it's a terrible graph. Though probably good for putting the fear up people in huge conference rooms.